The Cincinnati Bengals and Buffalo Bills square off at Highmark Stadium with a trip to the AFC Championship game on the line. This is a matchup between two of the conference’s juggernauts that each boast high-powered offenses, led by some of the NFL’s best quarterback talents in Joe Burrow and Josh Allen.
These two teams met in Week 17, but the game was ultimately stopped and canceled after Bills safety Damar Hamlin fell on the field. Now, they will face each other again, both trying to keep their franchises’ hopes of a first-ever Super Bowl championship alive.
In this space, we will be looking specifically at the different betting angles this game has on deck for us. Below, you’ll read a pick from CBS Sports and SportsLine experts on this game, as well as a handful of player props that caught our eye.
All NFL odds are through Caesars Sportsbook.
How to watch
Date: Sunday, January 22 | Time: 3 pm ET
Location: Highmark Stadium (Orchard Park, New York)
television: CBS | Stream: Paramount+ (click here)
Odds: Bills -5.5, O/U 49
Bengals at Bills spread picks
Featured Game | Buffalo Bills vs. Cincinnati Bengals
RJ White is a wizard when it comes to betting on NFL games. He is known for cashing in the Westgate Las Vegas Super Tournament twice since 2015. White went 445-378-24 on his ATS picks from 2017-21, returning $2,542 to a $100 player. Needless to say, you’ll want to know which way it’s leaning in this one between the Bills and the Bengals. We can tell you he’s leaning Under overall, but to see his must-see ATS pick, you’ll have to head over to SportsLine.
“This is the game of the weekend if you love quarterback play. Joe Burrow vs. Josh Allen. We thought we’d see this game in Week 17, but the game was canceled after Damar Hamlin suffered a cardiac arrest. It was that’s the right thing to do, but that’s also why this game is in Buffalo. If the Bengals won that game, with an early lead, this contest would be in Cincinnati The way it is , he’s in Buffalo. I think both of them will play better here. The Bengals have offensive issues, maybe three starters were out, but the Bills didn’t beat the passer that well last season. last week against Miami and Burrow gets the ball. out quickly. Both quarterbacks should have big days. In the end, I think Allen and the Bills will win the fourth quarter.” – CBS Sports Senior NFL Analyst Pete Prisco on why he likes Buffalo to lead Cincy, 34-30. To see all of his sectional round picks,.
“If you like offensive fireworks, then this is the game for you: Both teams ranked in the top eight in the NFL in points per game, offensive yards per game and passing yards per game during the season regular season. Although the Bengals offense struggled against the Ravens in the wild card round, I’m not sure I’d read too much into that Joe Burrow struggled against AFC North teams this year, but he dominated everyone else he played. Here’s a look at how Burrow has done in the 17 Bengals games, including the playoffs:
- Joe Burrow vs. AFC North teams (4-3): 257.9 passing yards per game, 13 TD, 9 INT
- Burrow vs. non-AFC North teams (9-1): 287.9 passing yards per game, 23 TD, 3 INT
“What this means is that teams that aren’t used to playing Burrow are getting destroyed by Burrow. The Bills got a little taste of that in Week 17. Even though the stats aren’t included, Burrow had a perfect QB rating ( 158.3) after starting 4 of 4 for 52 yards and a TD … The problem with [Josh] Allen has been a turnover machine this year. Besides his 16 interceptions, he’s also lost six fumbles, and while I’m not good at math, I know that 16 plus six equals 22, which was the most turnovers by ANY quarterback in the NFL this year. Not only did Burrow have fewer turnovers, but he was objectively better in the fourth quarter this year. I guess what I’m trying to say here is that if we’re only looking at the 2022 season, Burrow is the quarterback I trust more in this game.
“The last time these two teams played each other was in January at the end of the 1988 season when they met in the AFC Championship, which is kind of fitting, because the winner of this game goes to the AFC Championship . He has NEVER lost in January (6-0) in his career, so I feel like I have to roll with him here.” – CBS Sports NFL Writer John Breech on why the Bengals would like to win 27-24 against Buffalo .To see all his options,.
“Josh Allen’s recent sloppy play bothers me at Buffalo hosting the Bengals. The Bills quarterback had three turnovers in their narrow escape from an upset against the Dolphins last weekend, and that’s going on top of his 19 turnovers during the regular season. Now, he faces a Bengals defense that enjoyed a plus-6 turnover differential in the regular season, which was among the top five in the NFL. short to, do not want to squander any scoring opportunities, which I expect Buffalo to do once or twice.
“I also don’t think Buffalo scares the Bengals much. Before the play was stopped in their Week 17 game, Cincy took the ball to start that game and marched down the field for touchdowns. Offensively, the Bengals feel they can move the ball against this Bills defense that looks like it can beat it deep. Last week, the Dolphins receivers were able to out step the Bills corners, but they just couldn’t pull the ball in. I think Burrow has that problem this week with Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins Cincinnati’s offensive line is an issue, but I think Burrow is smart enough to get the ball quickly to try to negate his influence. This game will.” — CBS Sports NFL Writer Tyler Sullivan on why Cincy likes to pull off the upset..
“I’m sure everyone is excited to get this game. The last time these two teams played, we all saw the unfortunate Damar Hamlin incident. Thankfully, he’s had enough when both teams were able to focus on football again earlier this year, this is the first meeting between Joe Burrow and Josh Allen.
“This is probably the game of the weekend. This is the first playoff game between two teams on at least eight game winning streaks since the 2016 AFC Championship game between the New England Patriots and Pittsburgh Steelers. I have to say, I ‘ I wonder what this spread is. When it opened at BUF -4, I really thought it would be a bet.
“I expected both the Bills and Bengals to blow out their opponents on Super Wild Card Weekend. I was especially surprised by the Buffalo matchup against the Miami Dolphins, as Allen turned the ball over three times. I year, he was the first player to lead the NFL in turnovers and make the playoffs since Eli Manning in 2007. By the way, Manning won the Super Bowl that year., the Bills are my official Super Bowl pick. I think it also helps in this game that the Bengals are dealing with multiple injuries on the offensive line to Alex Cappa and Jonah Williams, and then La’el Collins is already ruled out for the year. With that said, I’m trying to take the points with the Bengals. Am I hedging my Bills Super Bowl prediction? Maybe. But I also predicted that the Bengals would cover the spread in Super Bowl LVI against the Los Angeles Rams, and lose by three straight points.” — NFL CBS Sports Writer Jordan Dajani on why the Bengals like to cover, but the Bills to win on Sunday. To see all his picks, .
Bengals at Bills overall pick
The SportsLine projection model is one of the best tools you can have during the NFL playoffs. It simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, it is up well over $7,000 for $100 player on top NFL picks since its inception. The model is also on a 16-6 roll in top NFL picks since Week 7 of this season, so anyone who has been following him is on the way up.
Of course, you’ll want to know what the model thinks of this AFC head-to-head between Buffalo and Cincinnati. Regarding the whole, we can tell you that the model is leaning Over. However, the model also identified one side of the spread that is carrying all the value. To find out which side that is, watch SportsLine.
Best prop choices
Josh Allen’s total interceptions: Over 0.5 (-142). Allen has been a turnover machine this season. His 19 turnovers in the regular season make him the first quarterback to lead the NFL in turnovers and still make the playoffs since 2007. That doesn’t include his three last week against Miami. Now, he faces a Cincinnati defense that was +6 in turnover differential this season, which was fifth best in the NFL.
Dawson Knox down anytime (+205). Knox has been a target for Josh Allen in the red zone and has caught a touchdown in five straight games, including last week against Miami.
Ja’Marr Chase Total Receptions: Over 7.5 (+110). The game against Tre’Davious White gives you a break, but if Cincy is going to win this game they will have to go to Chase. Since Week 14, Chase is averaging 12.8 goals per game and has surpassed this mark in all but one game over that stretch.