Heads vs.  Jaguars prediction, odds, line, spread, start time: 2023 NFL playoff picks from model 16-6

Heads vs. Jaguars prediction, odds, line, spread, start time: 2023 NFL playoff picks from model 16-6

The Jacksonville Jaguars performed well as underdogs during the regular season, going 8-5 to tie New England (2001) and Washington (2015) for the most wins in a campaign, including the playoffs , since 1970. The AFC South Champions will hope to take. sole possession of the mark when they visit the Kansas City Chiefs on Saturday during the 2023 NFL Playoffs. Jacksonville (10-8) posted its eighth such win during Super Wild Card Weekend after defeating the Los Angeles Chargers 31-30 despite allowing the first 27 points of the game. Kansas City (14-3), which secured a first-round bye in the 2023 NFL playoffs after winning its seventh straight AFC West title, posted a 27-17 home victory against the Jaguars in Week 10.

Kickoff from Arrowhead Stadium is set for 4:30 pm ET. Kansas City is a nine-point favorite in the latest Chiefs vs Jaguars odds from Caesars Sportsbook, and the total points scored is 52.5 over/under. Before you lock in any Jaguars vs. Chiefs, make sure you check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven projection model.

The model, which simulates each NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 on $100 players on top NFL picks since its inception. The model enters the Divisional Round of the 2023 NFL playoffs on an incredible 162-113 run on top NFL picks dating back to the 2017 season. He is also on a 16-6 roll on top NFL picks since Week 7 of this season .

The model has been ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six straight NFL pick-up years and has won over 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who followed him is way up.

Now, the model has set its sights on Chiefs vs. Jaguars on Saturday and just locked in its NFL playoff picks and predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to view model options. Here are the NFL odds and betting lines for Jaguars vs.

  • Chiefs vs. Jaguars spread: Kansas City -9
  • Chiefs vs Jaguars over/under: 52.5 points
  • Chiefs vs. Jaguars money line: Kansas City -550, Jacksonville +400
  • KC: The Chiefs are 1-7-1 against the spread in their last nine home games
  • JAX: Jaguars are 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven meetings with Kansas City
  • Leaders vs. Jaguars picks: See picks here

Featured Game | Kansas City Chiefs vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

Why the Leaders can cover

Kansas City has plenty of weapons in its aerial attack, but Jacksonville will need to keep a close eye on Travis Kelce. The 33-year-old tight end was third in the league with a career-high 110 receptions, eighth with 1,338 receiving yards and second with a personal-best 12 touchdown catches, leading all tight ends in every category. Kelce is fifth in NFL playoff history with 1,291 receiving yards and has 54 catches for 659 yards and six TDs over his last six postseason games.

Kelce played a big role in the Chiefs’ 27-17 win over the Jaguars in Week 10, hauling in six passes for 81 yards and a score. Patrick Mahomes finished with four touchdown passes in the win and also had tight end Noah Gray and wideouts Marquez Valdes-Scantling and Kadarius Toney score. The 2018 NFL MVP has thrown for 3,381 yards with 28 TDs and seven interceptions in 11 career playoff games and owns the highest passer rating in postseason history (105.7). See which team to choose here.

Why the Jaguars can cover

Jacksonville performed well on the road after a terrible stretch in which it lost 22 of 23 away games. Since losing at Kansas City in Week 10 to drop to 1-5 away from home this season, the Jaguars have won three straight on the road, a feat they last accomplished in 2017. The club’s defense played a big role in the turnaround , allowing just a field goal in each of the last two away contests.

The Jaguars probably won’t be able to shut down the Chiefs, who had a season-low 17 points, so Trevor Lawrence and the offense will have to be at the top of their game. The 23-year-old quarterback’s playoff career got off to a rocky start after throwing four interceptions in the first half against the Chargers, but went on to throw four touchdown passes while leading the third-biggest comeback win in NFL playoff history. Lawrence has yet to lose on Saturday as a starting quarterback, winning all 37 drives in high school (three), college (32) and the NFL (two). See which team to choose here.

How to make Chiefs vs Jaguars picks

The SportsLine model continues Under the point total, asking for a combined 50 points. The model also says that one side of the hit spread occurs in more than 50% of the simulations. You can only see the model’s picks at SportsLine.

So who won Jaguars vs. Chiefs in the 2023 NFL playoffs? And which side of the spread does it hit more than 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Chiefs vs. Jaguars spread to be throughout Saturday, all from the advanced model that is up well over $7,000 on its top-rated NFL picks, and find out.

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