UFC 283 main card preview: Can Gilbert Burns get back on track?

UFC 283 main card preview: Can Gilbert Burns get back on track?

Since it is difficult to get fighters to travel overseas, PPV cards outside of North America usually have at least one fight on the main card that has no business on the PPV main card. Maybe it has something to do with the UFC not being in Brazil for a while, but that’s not the case this time around for UFC 283.

None of the main card fights are complete, and each of the contests qualifies as a fight that could realistically headline a Fight Night card. That’s not to say that they’re the top contenders for Fight Night, but that’s not what it takes to be a decent PPV main card event. Regardless, the price of admission is worth it, even with a price hike – yet again – for UFC PPVs due to the quality of the contests along with the two title fights.

For an early preview, click here. For TV previews, click here.

Gilbert Burns vs. Neil Magny, welterweight

There may not be a less respected member of the UFC roster than Magny. As the UFC’s all-time leader in wins in the welterweight division, fans tend to react with a groan more often than not when they see his name on a card. A lot of that is due to his reputation as a boring fighter, though I’d say it’s undeserved. I wouldn’t go so far as to say Magny is an action fighter, but a lack of finishes doesn’t mean boring either. Regardless, Magny has been vacating the top ten of the welterweight rankings for the past five or six years. That alone deserves the level of respect fans seem reluctant to give him.

Burns may have taken a little longer to break into the top ten, but unlike Magny, he has broken into the top five. However, there is a case to be made that Burns has received favorable matches to reach his current spot. Sure, Burns was competitive with Kamaru Usman and Khamzat Chimaev. However, they were ultimately losses and the victories he won to claim his title against Usman were 42-year-old Demian Maia and a washed-up Tyron Woodley. In addition, his most recent defeat, Stephen Thompson, is another fighter who seems to be on the wrong side as well. Burns did what he had to do to beat those guys, but looking back, it doesn’t look like any of them are as good as we thought they were when they fought Burns.

That being said, while I don’t think this fight will be the automatic win for Burns that many see it as, there is no doubt that Burns is the right choice. While Magny has proven himself to be a respectable grappler, he has a very tough ceiling against the top fighters in the division. That was established several years ago when Maia and Rafael dos Anjos did whatever they wanted on the mat. Magny seems to have improved since those losses, but his loss to Michael Chiesa shows that he is still an issue. It’s no secret that Burns is one of the best BJJ practitioners on the roster. As Burns has gone deeper into his UFC career, he has become even more effective at mixing the MMA elements into his ground game, adding a certain amount of physicality that has allowed him to live up to the high expectations of him when he came into the game. organization.

There are a few things to watch out for if Magny is going to get a shot. First, Burns has been through some potentially career-changing battles. With those losses to Usman and Chimaev he saw a lot of heavy artillery on his chin. It wouldn’t be surprising to see him get worse after that fight. Another factor that may have contributed to his demise is that Burns spent several years making a severe cut to 155. Additionally, Magny’s fighting IQ is underrated. He understands his strengths and weaknesses and fights accordingly… if he can. If Burns is slowed at all, Magny’s freakish arrival will cause problems and he knows how to destroy his opponent against the cage if they close the distance. The way to victory is there for Magny.

While there is a path to victory, Burns is likely to put a major roadblock in front of that path. Not only is Burns the best ground fighter, he is the best boxer in the pocket. Plus, it’s the bigger powerful puncher too. Did I mention he’s also a better pure athlete? Kudos to Magny for not only asking for the Burns fight, but taking it in the hostile environment that is Brazil. Unfortunately, this is a bad matchup for him. Magny is resourceful and durable, but that should only be enough to get him to the last stone rather than a victory this time. Burns by decision

Jessica Andreas vs. Lauren MurphyWomen Fly weight

Andrade’s MMA journey has been one of the most interesting in UFC history. Beginning her UFC career as a bantamweight, she was a dangerous fighter but limited at that weight class due to her short stature. It wasn’t long after the strawweight division opened that she dropped down to 115, challenging for the title. However, she came up short in her first defense and ended up suffering losses to each of the fighters who circled that division’s title picture. Feeling blocked on the road to the title in that division, she opted to move up to flyweight where she earned another title shot. After coming up short there, she decided the moonlight on both fly and straw weight, fights that look interesting to her. Murphy is sure to be an interesting fight for Andrade.

While Andrade is on the small side at flyweight, she remains a physical force. Despite several losses during her career, she retains the confidence and aggression usually reserved for an unreached youth who believes they are invincible. Additionally, Andrade’s strength held up well even when she was fighting at bantamweight. She may be at her strongest at her flyweight since she is not dehydrating herself too much. Of course, she’s also fighting stronger women at flyweight, which Valentina Shevchenko has proven to be a concern for her in certain matchups.

The question is whether Murphy is one of those matchups. Murphy is as scrappy and durable as they come. She doesn’t hit the hardest. She is no wiz in terms of coping. Hell, it’s not a technical wonder either. Murphy is always against his opponents, working them over with his wrestling and boxing combinations as workers. It often happens that her opponents become so frustrated with her constant work rate that they have a hard time keeping up or tend to fold. Of course, Andrade’s game is to stay against opponents too….

When Andrade loses, it is because of his opposition using an exceptional technique. Joanna Jedrzejczek used spacing, angles, and stiff jabs to keep Andrade at bay. Rose Namajunas did something similar. The reigning flyweight champion, Valentina Shevchenko, scored down games with precision. That’s not Murphy’s style. Murphy is strong for the division, but not strong enough to make up for her technical deficiencies, at least not against Andrade. Maybe she can get lucky and cut Andrade because the Brazilian’s chin is cracked. That’s unlikely to be worth it, though, as Murphy tends to wear down his opposition bit by bit rather than get the job done with one crack. Murphy’s grit will allow her to survive deep into the fight or until the final bell, but Andrade is not the best at her own game, especially at 39 years old. Andrade by decision

Paul Craig vs. Johnny Walker, Heavy Light

Fortunately for fight fans, Craig has given up on the idea of ​​retiring at the age of 35. Since not many expected the Scot to make his way into the top ten of the weight division mild when first signed, it seems to have victims. his own success in terms of his original timeline for leaving the sport. He’s still a long way from fighting for the gold someday, but it’s worth noting that he has a win over one of the men who will be fighting for the gold at the top of this card. It’s not like it was back in the regional days. Craig Jamahal Hill hit just 19 months ago….

Although he is one of the worst true athletes in the division, Craig is one of the most dangerous targets in the division. There may not be a more dangerous fighter out of their back on the entire UFC roster than Craig. He can throw triangle chokes in the blink of an eye, having landed five of them on a winning streak since joining the UFC. I say the win came directly since it wasn’t technically a triangle choke that ended Hill’s night; it was the dislocated elbow. Some of the best submission artists that have graced the Octagon have ever nabbed a triangle choke victory. Craig has five. While that’s certainly his signature move, he’s no one-trick pony either. Craig’s long limbs are ideal for pinning his opponents if he can also get their back.

That said, the road to victory over Craig is pretty easy: keep the fight standing. Despite Craig’s devastating attempts to spam, Volkan Oezdemir managed to keep the fight standing, breaking Craig’s six-fight unbeaten streak. There’s no doubt that Walker can do that. Not only can it match Craig’s 76” reach, it beats it by a good six inches. In addition, Walker is one of the best athletes on the roster. He should be able to avoid Craig’s angry outbursts to lead the fight instead of fighting them. The question is whether Walker will have the fighting IQ to do so.

Walker has some incredible highlight reels on his ledger, and that’s what he’s mostly known for. However, he is also known as a man who dislocated his shoulder celebrating one of those victories. There are signs that Walker is maturing as he chooses to pin Ion Cutelaba to the mat rather than risk the wild man landing powerfully on Walker’s vulnerable chin. Of course, it adds to the worry that Walker could put in his head that he can hang on the mat with Craig ….

A walker should to win this. Stylistically, this fight favors him as he is faster and faster than Craig with jump and bound. In addition, although Craig is tougher than a two-dollar steak, he is not so durable that his chin cannot be cracked, especially by Walker. But the combination of Walker’s bone instincts and Craig’s craftiness cannot be ignored. Even further in Craig’s favor is Walker’s habit of softening the stretch; All of his UFC wins have come in the first round. I’m picking Walker in the end, but I wouldn’t put money down on this fight if I were a betting man. Walker by KO of RD1

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